Development of simulation weather data for Hour wise Daily Diffused and Direct Solar Radiation from Hourly Global Radiation using statistical estimation method for Subtropical region

Aniket Sharma, Bhanu M Marwaha

Abstract


In order to carry out energy simulation using software, a file containing various hourly daily weather parameters including solar global, diffused and direct radiations must be known and these parameters shall be averaged for a minimum of three years. In the present case, the data having values of other parameters except diffuse and direct solar radiations was available from Centre of Energy and Environmental Engineering from September 2011 onwards. A yearly data of the mentioned radiations was measured at same Centre using SOLYS 2 Sun Tracker and the relationship of diffuse and global components is established using clearness index. This paper outlines three developed hourly linear regression models for data classified as annual, seasonal and hour wise (6AM to 6PM) measured data. The developed models along with various available prediction models for hour wise analysis are evaluated for performance statistical test methods of mean bias error, root mean square error and correlation coefficients. The hour wise model is found better over the other developed models in mentioned tests and hence is used along with various prediction models for prediction of measured data at 6AM, 11 AM, 1 PM and 6 PM. It is found that the hour wise model performs better for hour wise prediction of diffused radiation than available prediction models and hence is recommended further for determination of diffused and direct components of available data.

Keywords


Hour wise; diffused solar radiations; global solar radiations; linear regression models; subtropical; Hamirpur

Full Text:

PDF

References


Energy Conservation Act- 2001, Ministry of Power, Government of India, 2001 (Standards and Reports)

Bureau of Energy Efficiency, Government of India, (online) http://www.beeindia.in/ (accessed on 10th November 2011) (Website)

Energy Conservation Building Code (ECBC)-2007, Bureau of Energy Efficiency, Ministry of Power, Government of India, 2007 (Standards and Reports)

Green Rating for Integrated Habitat Assessment (GRIHA) Manuals, vol. 1-5, TERI Press. New Delhi, (Standards and Reports)

Himachal Pradesh Town and Country Planning Rules- 2014, Department of Town Planning, Govt. of Himachal Pradesh, 2014 (Standards and Reports)

L.G. Swan, V.I. Ugursal. “Modelling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: A review of modeling techniquesâ€, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. Elsevier B.V., vol. 13, pp. 1819-1835, August 2009. (Article)

ASHRAE Handbook: Fundamentals- 2013 American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air Conditioning Engineers, Atlanta, 2013 (Standards and Reports)

Weather Data for Simulation- Energy Efficiency and renewable Energy, US Department of Energy, (online) http://apps1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/energyplus/weatherdata_simulation.cfm (accessed on 4th April 2015) (Website)

J.A. Duffle, W.A. Beckman, Solar Engineering of Thermal Processes. New York etc.: Wiley, 1980 (Book)

J.D. Balcomb, J.C. Hedstrom, R.D. McFarland, “Simulation analysis of passive solar heated buildings—Preliminary resultsâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 19, pp. 277-282, March 1977. (Article)

F. Garde, T. Mara, A.P. Lauret, H. Boyer, R. Celaire, “Bringing simulation to implementation: presentation of a global approach in the design of passive solar buildings under humid tropical climatesâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 71, pp. 109-120, 2001. (Article)

R.V. Ralegaonkar, R. Gupta, “Review of intelligent building construction: A passive solar architecture approachâ€, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. Elsevier B.V., vol. 14, pp. 2238-2242, August 2010. (Article)

M. Tobias, F. Martin, B. Vladimir, “Building Energy Performance Simulation Tools -a Life-Cycle and Interoperable Perspectiveâ€. CIFE Working Paper #WP107. Center for Integrated Facility Engineering, Stanford University, 2007. (Standards and Reports)

Y.H. Benjamin, R. Liu, C. Jordan, “The interrelationship and characteristic distribution of direct, diffuse and total solar radiationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 4, pp. 1-19, March 1960. (Article)

A. Whillier, D. Tout, “Calibration results on a new integrating instrument for measuring daily values of total solar radiationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 9, pp. 208-212, April 1965. (Article)

R.F. Benseman, F.W. Cook, “Solar radiation in New Zealand-the standard year and radiation on inclined slopesâ€. N.Z. J. Sci. Springer-Verlag, vol. 12, pp. 696–708, 1969 (Article)

M.R. Sharma, RS. Pal, “Interrelationships between total, direct, and diffuse solar radiation in the tropicsâ€. Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 9, pp. 183-192, April 1965. (Article)

B.Y.H. Liu, R.C. Jordan “The interrelationship and characteristic distribution of Direct, Diffuse and total solar radiationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 4, pp. 1-19, 1966. (Article)

S.E. Tuller, “The relationship between diffuse, total and extra-terrestrial solar radiationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 18, pp. 259-263, March 1976. (Article)

M. Collares-Pereira, A. Rabl, “The average distribution of solar radiation-correlations between diffuse and hemispherical and between daily and hourly insolation valuesâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 22, pp. 155-164, Feb. 1979. (Article)

M. Iqbal, “Prediction of hourly diffuse solar radiation from measured hourly global radiation on a horizontal surfaceâ€. Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 24, pp. 491-503, May 1980. (Article)

D.G. Erbs, S.A. Klein, J.A. Duffie, “Estimation of the diffuse radiation fraction for hourly, daily and monthly-average global radiationâ€. Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 28, pp. 293-302, April 1982. (Article)

J.F. Orgill, K.G.T. Hollands, “Correlation equation for hourly diffuse radiation on a horizontal surfaceâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 19, pp. 357-359, April 1977. (Article)

V. Badescu, “Verification of some very simple clear and cloudy sky models to evaluate global solar irradianceâ€. Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 61, pp. 251-264, 1997. (Article)

F.J. Battles et al., “Comparison of cloudless sky parameterizations of solar irradiance at various Spanish mid latitude locationsâ€, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, vol. 66, pp. 81-93, 2000. (Article)

J.A. Davies, D.C. McKay, “Evaluation of selected models for estimating solar radiation on horizontal surfacesâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 43, pp. 153-168, 1989. (Article)

C.A. Gueymard, “REST2: High performance solar radiation model for cloudless-sky irradiance, illuminance and photosynthetically active radiation—validation with a benchmark datasetâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 82, pp. 272-285, 2008. (Article)

C.A. Gueymard, D.R. Myers, “Validation and ranking methodologies for solar radiation modelsâ€. In: Badescu, V. (Ed.), Modeling Solar Radiation at the Earth’s Surface. New York: Springer-Verlag, 2008a, ch. 20 (Book chapter)

P. Ineichen, “Comparison of eight clear sky broadband models against 16 independent data banksâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 80, pp. 468–478, 2006. (Article)

M.G. Iziomon, H. Mayer, “Assessment of some global solar radiation parameterizationsâ€, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar Terrestrial Physics, vol. 64, pp. 1631-1643, 2002 (Article)

M.A. Madkour et al., “Comparative study on different models for estimation of direct normal irradiance (DNI) over Egypt atmosphereâ€, Renewable Energy, vol. 31, pp. 361-382, 2006. (Article)

S. Younes, T. Muneer, “Clear-sky classification procedures and models using a world-wide data-baseâ€, Applied Energy, vol. 84, pp. 623-645, 2007. (Article)

C.P. Jacovides, F.S. Tymvios, V.D. Assimakopoulos, N.A. Kaltsounides, “Comparative study of various correlations in estimating hourly diffuse fraction of global solar radiationâ€, Renewable Energy, vol. 31, pp. 2492-2504, 2006. (Article)

K.G.T. Hollands, R.G. Huget, “A probability density function for the clearness index, with applicationsâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 30, pp. 195-209, 1983. (Article)

A. Skartveit, J.A. Olseth, “A model for the diffuse fraction of hourly global radiationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 38, pp. 271-274, 1987. (Article)

F.J.K. Ideriah, S.O. Suleman, “Sky conditions at Ibadan during 1975–1980â€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 43, pp. 325-330, 1989. (Article)

J.C Lam, D.H. Li, “Correlation between global solar radiation and its direct and diffuse componentsâ€, Building and Environment, Elsevier B.V., vol. 31, pp. 527-535, 1996. (Article)

R. Perez, P. Ineichen, R. Seals, A. Zelenka, “Making full use of the clearness index for parameterizing hourly insolation conditionsâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 45, pp. 111-114, 1990. (Article)

V.Badescu, C. A.Gueymard, S. Cheval, C. Oprea, M. Baciu, “Computing global and diffuse solar hourly irradiation on clear sky- Review and testing of 54 modelsâ€. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. Elsevier B.V., vol. 16, pp. 1636-1656, 2012. (Article)

ASHRAE Fundamentals Handbook-2005, American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air Conditioning Engineers, Atlanta, 2005 (Standards and Reports)

J. Chandrasekaran, S. Kumar, “Hourly diffuse fraction correlation at a tropical locationâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 53, pp. 505-510, Jun 1994. (Article)

S.S. Chandel, R.K. Aggarwal, “Estimation of hourly solar radiation on horizontal and inclined surfaces in Western Himalayasâ€, Smart grid and renewable energy, vol. 2, pp. 45-55, Jan 2011. (Article)

State Strategy and Action Plan on Climate Change- 2012, Department of Environment, Science & Technology, Government of Himachal Pradesh; 2012 (online) http://www.moef.nic.in/sites/default/files/sapcc/Himachal-Pradesh.pdf (accessed on 3rd April 2015) (Standards and Reports)

M.C. Peel, B.L. Finlayson, T.A. McMahon, “Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classificationâ€. Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions, vol. 4, pp. 439-473, Feb. 2007 (Article)

D.R. Conover, R. Bartlett, M.A. Halverson, “Comparison of Standard 90.1-2007 and the 2009 IECC with Respect to Commercial Buildingsâ€, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland; 2009 (Article)

D.T. Reindl, W.A. Beckman, J.A. Duffie, “Diffuse fraction correlationsâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 45, pp. 1-7, 1990. (Article)

A. De Miguel, J. Bilbao, R. Aguiar, H. Kambezidis, E. Negro, “Diffuse solar irradiation model evaluation in the North Mediterranean belt areaâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 70, pp. 143-153, Feb. 2001. (Article)

D.H.W. Li, J.C. Lam, “An analysis of climatic parameters and sky condition classificationâ€. Building and Environment, vol. 36, pp. 435-445, 2001. (Article)

D.H.W. Li, C.C.S. Lau, J.C. Lam, “Overcast sky conditions and luminance distribution in Hong Kongâ€, Building and Environment, vol. 39, pp. 101-108, 2004. (Article)

A. Kuye, S.S. Jagtap, “Analysis of solar radiation data for Port Harcourt, Nigeriaâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 49, pp. 139-145, Feb. 1992. (Article)

A.P. Oliveira, J.F. Escobedo, A.J. Machado, J. Soares, “Correlation models of diffuse solar radiation applied to the city of Sao Paulo, Brazilâ€, Appl Energy, vol. 71, pp. 59-73, 2002. (Article)

S.D. Attri, A. Tyagi, “Climatic Profile of Indiaâ€, India Meteorological Department. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 2010 (online) http://www.imd.gov.in/doc/climate_profile.pdf (accessed on 23rd March 2015) (Standards and Reports)

P.J. Smietana, R.G. Flocchini, R.L. Kennedy, J.L. Hatfield, “Comparison of diffuse/global ratios calculated from one-minute, hourly and daily solar radiation dataâ€, Solar Energy, Elsevier B.V., vol. 32, pp. 417-423, Mar. 1984. (Article)




DOI (PDF): https://doi.org/10.20508/ijrer.v5i4.2621.g6703

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Online ISSN: 1309-0127

Publisher: Gazi University

IJRER is cited in SCOPUS, EBSCO, WEB of SCIENCE (Clarivate Analytics);

IJRER has been cited in Emerging Sources Citation Index from 2016 in web of science.

WEB of SCIENCE in 2025; 

h=35,

Average citation per item=6.59

Last three Years Impact Factor=(1947+1753+1586)/(146+201+78)=5286/425=12.43

Category Quartile:Q4